Eurasia Note #20 - Making It Rain In Ukraine

It's obvious who is pushing for war but they're linked to several agendas

Motives in Ukraine come into plain view.
Bloomberg News “mistake” blurts Russia Invades Ukraine.
President Macron of France says “Russia is a European country.”

Anglo-American unipolar dominance challenged like never before.
Resources, gas and pipelines in play as factions battle.
Reality wars replace conventional diplomacy.

2,900 words or 10 minutes’ read, half as conclusion for much-appreciated, paid subscribers.

From Ukraine to Yemen: All’s in play as the globalists Build Back Better. By: Peter Biro CC Flickr

Tbilisi, Feb 8, 2022

In business a rainmaker is a person who creates opportunities by banging a drum. The motives of the players who drive events around Ukraine have never been so clear.

The U.S. and UK media breathlessly anticipate a Russian incursion. In the feverish imagination of one news organization it already happened. Even though the Ukrainian administration of President Volodymyr Zelenskiy says it has zero evidence of plans for incursion or conflict.

The phantasm lives rent-free in the minds of the U.S., UK and NATO and Western media. Of course, there is method in this apparent madness and it targets Russian gas flowing west through the Baltics and Germany.

While they seek to harden the border with Russia, President Emmanuel Macron of France said "Russia is a European country. It is necessary to work with Russia to build a future in Europe." He was visiting President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Monday.

The Guardian, which is firmly embedded in the military wing of the British deep state, eagerly reported the lack of a "breakthrough in marathon talks at the Kremlin on Monday evening aimed at fending off a Russian attack on Ukraine." The Guardian must know something that Russia and Ukraine don't, but which glows incandescent in the minds of NATO, UK and U.S. strategists.

Never has a parallel reality enveloped and circumscribed the view of journalists like this but perhaps we should not be surprised in an age where press thinks it is normal that they speak with a uniform, collective voice; in which the Pentagon's Facebook project, and DARPA-IBM's Microsoft openly tout the metaverse as a place to waste our lives away.

The following “news” is evidence free and might as well exist in Xbox or Oculus.

• Russia has placed a stand-in at the heart of Ukraine’s cabinet to replace Zelenskiy, according to the U.S., UK, NATO crew.

• Biden said Russia would "sack" Ukraine, according to Associated Press. Zelenskiy denied such words were used.

• Russia has built up 70 per cent of the force required for invasion, the Washington Post and New York Times chime in unison.

• Russia will make a fake video showing attacks against Russia citizens, says the State Department.

• Bloomberg puts up for 30 minutes a headline: “Russia invades Ukraine” on Feb 4.

The State Department spokesman Ned Price dug himself into a foxhole when AP reporter Matt Lee pressed him to bring the coming "fake video of an attack on Russian citizens" out of the virtual and into reality. He, like the White House press secretary, had to resort to "do you believe us or Russia" — insinuating that anyone who doesn't swallow the assertions of unseen and anonymous reports must be an agent of Russian disinformation.

Despite almost panting with anticipation, forecasts of the "invasion" have been re-dated, pushed back and replaced with refreshed Nostradamus-like predictions. Ukraine would invade by early Feb, said Biden, Blinken, Stoltenberg and Johnson, in Dec. Now they say after the Olympics, which concludes in a couple of weeks.

Europe rebooted

The words of Macron, in interviews before he flew to Moscow, tell a different story: the Russians have their own security interests, he told Le Journal du Dimanche. This conflicts directly with NATO's assertion that Russia has neither legitimate concerns about, or any right to demand, security guarantees. In Jan the U.S. and NATO rejected Russian demands that Ukraine and Georgia should never be allowed to join NATO.

Karin Kneisll, Austria's former foreign minister, told RT Germany on Jan 28: The Ukraine threat is a “picture that emerges but does not quite correspond to reality. It is a reality that the media have manufactured.” This is, as David Scott pointed out on UK Column, is hybrid warfare, Integrity Initiative, Mind Wars.

A flurry of European visits to Moscow suggest the hard line maintained by the European Council against talks with Russia has crumbled: German chancellor Olaf Scholz will fly to Moscow soon; British foreign secretary Liz Truss and her colleague defence secretary Ben Wallace will meet their Russian opposite numbers.

In Jun 2021 the attempt by then German chancellor Angela Merkel to organise a summit between Russia and the EU was blocked by Poland and the Baltic states. The last EU-Russia summit took place in Jan 2014 just before the Maidan coup.

The important visits are those of France and Germany. Simply by taking place they show that the U.S., UK, NATO attempt to isolate Russia is not working. It is not clear what the British hope to achieve except to appear relevant.

Reverse, reverse

The return by France and Germany to diplomacy on Russia may be the attempt of European leaders to regain the lead on their own continent but it may also be part of a bigger realignment. London's Daily Telegraph acknowledges that while NATO scurried round Europe shifting its jigsaw pieces around Russia’s border a more significant game of chess was underway.

The newspaper notes Putin's summit with President Xi Jinping before the Olympics and concludes they will no longer tolerate dominance by the West, in the shape of Washington or the City of London.

"Even if he [Putin] does not give the order for war, a tighter alignment with Beijing will help him project Russian power in what is shaping up to be a long and frosty Cold War Two... Mr Xi gains a secure northern border and the knowledge he can rely on Russian backing for his own brewing confrontation with the United States and its allies in the Pacific.” [1]

What the paper ignores is that it is UK and US that launched AUKUS, and who talk up a threat to Taiwan.

"The new Eurasian axis will also make it impossible for the United States to pursue its strategy of reducing its European commitments in order to concentrate on the Pacific."

Here the paper reveals the UK agenda to keep the U.S. in NATO and Europe. France and Germany are tentatively exploring an independent European foreign policy that would demand its own defence force. Macron in 2019 said: “What we are currently experiencing is the brain death of NATO.” He told The Economist that Europe needed to act strategically as a geopolitical power — otherwise we will “no longer be in control of our destiny.”

The stark failure of the previous policy, NATO’s jigsaw puzzle, is evidenced by Europe's energy security. Gas reserves are dangerously low and the Nord Stream 2 pipeline stands, finished and unused, because the European Union still has not agreed to let it flow. This can’t be an oversight — more likely it is a deliberate strategy by NATO and its American overlords.

Energy companies are well represented in the business end of NATO, the Atlantic Council (funded by corporations that benefit from NATO’s endeavours) whose president Frederick Kempe says "not since WW2 have leading authoritarians been so closely aligned." [2]

"The broad areas that the agreement covers are head-spinning." Not if you read Moneycircus.

"What unites Russia and China remains mostly their opposition to the United States: They’ve cynically appropriated the concepts that define US foreign policy — democracy, human rights, and economic development — though their actions are ridiculously inconsistent with their rhetoric."

Kempe's own article contradicts this. It is the blinkers on U.S. and, until recently, European, policy that has allowed China to become Russia's biggest trading partner. Coinciding with Putin's visit to Beijing, the two countries unveiled new oil and gas deals estimated at $117 billion. Russia's biggest oil producer Rosneft will supply 100 million tons over a decade through Kazakhstan to China National Petroleum Corporation and Gazprom will pipe 10 billion cubic meters of gas per year via a new pipeline.

Ukraine rain

Russian-speaking populations in eastern Ukraine are seeking guarantees of their rights and the status of an autonomous region in the Donbas, similar to that which Catalonia has in Spain. Under the Minsk agreement a ceasefire has held, after a civil war that cost 14,000 lives. The once-prosperous industrial region is now divided by a 430-kilometer (260 miles) frontier.

The 2016 Steinmeier Formula, named after former German foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, would see elections in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, after which they would return to Ukraine control under a self-governing status. Russia insists the elections happen first. Ukraine says it wants full control of its eastern border returned, and the removal of all Russian troops and weapons before any plebicite.

Economically, Kyiv is concerned it will have to pay for an autonomous region that it does not fully control. That's the same reason why Russia is unlikely to want it.

For more on Ukraine’s strengths and current economic weakness see Moneycircus, Jan 27, 2022 — Eurasia Note #19 - Ukraine: Just Bizniz for Some

Bloomberg’s phoney war headline is not the only tangent that points to the players behind this story. British foreign secretary Liz Truss was hosted in Australia by the Lowy Institute, founded by Frank Lowy, the co-leaseholder of New York’s World Trade Centre during its destruction, and a global shaper of Mid-East policy.